Genius Multidisciplinary International Journal
ISSN: 2971-7760  |  Vol. 8, No. 2

Macroeconomic Shocks and Private Housing Delivery in a Developing City: Financial, Operational and Resilience Pathways for Abuja, Nigeria.

Abraham Laucarie Ahmed, Nasir Idris Medugu, Dahiru Umar Abubakar

Abstract

Macroeconomic instability can disrupt private housing production through interacting financial, procurement, labour and demand-side mechanisms, yet project-level evidence from rapidly urbanising African cities remains limited. This study examines how economic shocks were experienced during the development of Palm Height Estate 5 in Lugbe, Abuja, and identifies the strategies used to sustain project delivery. A bounded mixed-method case-study design was employed, combining a structured questionnaire survey of construction stakeholders with key- informant interviews, site observation and project documentation. Of 124 questionnaires distributed, 122 were returned and 120 valid responses were retained, giving a 96.8% usable response rate. Descriptive analysis used means and Relative Importance Index (RII), while qualitative evidence was used to interpret the quantitative patterns. Rising fuel and energy costs (mean=4.18; RII=0.837), exchange-rate fluctuations (4.14; 0.828) and high inflation (4.11; 0.823) were the leading manifestations of economic stress. Project cash-flow problems were the most severe financial/operational challenge (4.22; 0.843). The strongest reported delivery effect was extension of completion time (4.24; 0.847), while increased construction defects was the highest-ranked quality consequence (3.78; 0.757). Bulk purchasing (4.01; 0.802) and phased implementation (4.00; 0.800) were the most widely adopted coping strategies. Public–private partnerships (3.80; 0.760) ranked highest among proposed resilience measures. The findings indicate a cascading pathway in which macroeconomic shocks constrain project liquidity, disrupt procurement and labour, and place pressure on schedule and quality. The study contributes project-level evidence from Abuja and identifies resilience measures that can reduce exposure to future economic shocks.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23058354

Published: September 30, 2026

Journal: Genius Multidisciplinary International Journal

ISSN: 2971-7760

Volume: 8, Issue 2

Publisher: Genius Academy — Nasarawa State University, Keffi, Nigeria